← The HP Wolves Den STORE CHAMPIONSHIPS - MRC Season
Fire Crux MageTier 2
at The HP Wolves Den STORE CHAMPIONSHIPS - MRC Season
decks
2
(7.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
10
2-5-3
overall winrate
35.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
41.2%
avg ELO -4.0 per match
expected value
44.3%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
45.1%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1302
· median 1302
· range 1246–1358
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1081
Q1 1254
Q3 1423
1630
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 25.0% | 3 | 0-1-2 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 44.5% | -4.1 |
| Fire Aggro | 10.7% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 39.9% | -7.6 |
| Wind Allies | 10.7% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.8% | +0.8 |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 7.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.6% | -13.5 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Lorraine | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tonoris | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Merlin | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Overlord | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 3.6% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 54.5% | +7.2 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
